Mental Model

Confirmation Bias and the Power of Disconfirming Evidence

“Nothing is easier than self-deceit. What a man wishes, he also believes.” – Demosthenes As the ancient Greeks found 2500 years ago, have a tendency to cherry-pick information that confirms our existing beliefs or ideas. We call this tendency confirmation bias. It’s a deeply ingrained mental habit that’s energy-conserving and comfortable. Imagine our ancestors hunting.

Confirmation Bias and the Power of Disconfirming Evidence Read More »

Commitment and Consistency Bias

We have an instinctual desire to remain consistent with our past actions and beliefs. There’s a social benefit to it: we value consistency and conviction, even if it’s wrong, because it reduces uncertainty toward one’s future actions and beliefs. This creates trust. Yet this bias toward consistency and commitment can lead us to behave in

Commitment and Consistency Bias Read More »